BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 4A Class Rank: 8 Conference: Northeast Iowa Record: (6-3-0) Overall: (33-19-0) Overall Strength =   87.21

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/28/2021 Away    W *   115.98  45   6   2A 18 (30-20- 0) Waukon                 29.21      9.79  was 08/27 now 08/28 
 2 09/03/2021 Home    W *   107.14  48   6   2A 30 (19-28- 0) Cresco Crestwood       20.38     21.62                      
 3 09/10/2021 Away    W     102.73  31  14   3A 12 (28-22- 0) Webster City           15.97      1.03                      
 4 09/17/2021 Home    L      79.07   6  14   3A  7 (35-17- 0) West Delaware          -7.69     -0.31                      
 5 09/24/2021 Away    W   *  72.42  43  15   4A 34 ( 6-39- 0) Waterloo East         -14.35     42.35                      
 6 10/01/2021 Home    W     100.39  42   0   4A 24 (16-29- 0) Marion                 13.63     28.37                      
 7 10/08/2021 Home    W   * 103.87  64  20   4A 23 (17-28- 0) Mason City             17.10     26.90                      
 8 10/15/2021 Away    W     106.76  55  39   4A  7 (34-18- 0) Western Dubuque        19.99     -3.99                      
 9 10/22/2021 Home    W * * 100.12  26   7   4A 12 (34-18- 0) Decorah                13.36      5.64                      
10 10/29/2021 Home    W   *  90.42  42  14   4A 22 (17-30- 0) CR Washington           3.66     24.34                      
11 11/05/2021 Home    W      93.36  36  25   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar        6.59      4.41                      
12 11/11/2021 Neutral L      73.51  10  35   4A  2 (50-12- 0) CB Lewis Central      -13.26    -11.74                      
13 08/26/2022 Home    W *   100.17  42  14   2A 18 (30-20- 0) Waukon                 13.41     14.59                      
14 09/02/2022 Away    W *   104.95  35   0   2A 30 (19-28- 0) Cresco Crestwood       18.18     16.82                      
15 09/09/2022 Home    W     108.93  28   0   3A 12 (28-22- 0) Webster City           22.16      5.84                      
16 09/16/2022 Away    W     126.88  42   7   3A  7 (35-17- 0) West Delaware          40.12     -5.12                      
17 09/23/2022 Home    W   *  95.61  56   0   4A 34 ( 6-39- 0) Waterloo East           8.84     47.16                      
18 09/30/2022 Away    W      98.20  42   7   4A 24 (16-29- 0) Marion                 11.44     23.56                      
19 10/07/2022 Away    W   * 106.68  52  10   4A 23 (17-28- 0) Mason City             19.91     22.09                      
20 10/14/2022 Home    W     106.95  35  14   4A  7 (34-18- 0) Western Dubuque        20.19      0.81                      
21 10/21/2022 Away    W * * 104.93  32  13   4A 12 (34-18- 0) Decorah                18.17      0.83                      
22 10/28/2022 Home    W      91.23  49   7   3A 29 (19-28- 0) Fort Madison            4.46     37.54                      
23 11/04/2022 Home    L      79.58  10  20   4A  5 (41-14- 0) Eldridge North Scott   -7.19     -2.81                      
24 08/25/2023 Home    L   *  63.42   6  41   4A  1 (52- 9- 0) CR Xavier             -23.34    -11.66                      
25 09/01/2023 Away    L      66.39  28  56   4A  5 (41-14- 0) Eldridge North Scott  -20.38     -7.62                      
26 09/08/2023 Home    L      34.36   7  55   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar      -52.41      4.41                      
27 09/15/2023 Away    L      87.97  25  28   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake              1.20     -4.20                      
28 09/22/2023 Away    L      78.76  23  35   4A  7 (34-18- 0) Western Dubuque        -8.01     -3.99                      
29 09/29/2023 Home    L * *  66.12  20  35   4A 12 (34-18- 0) Decorah               -20.64      5.64                      
30 10/06/2023 Away    W   * 101.68  44   7   4A 23 (17-28- 0) Mason City             14.91     22.09                      
31 10/13/2023 Away    W   *  80.42  56  20   4A 34 ( 6-39- 0) Waterloo East          -6.35     42.35                      
32 10/20/2023 Home    W      70.39  31  19   4A 24 (16-29- 0) Marion                -16.37     28.37                      
33 08/30/2024 Away    L   *  96.23   7  14   4A  1 (52- 9- 0) CR Xavier               9.47    -16.47  Senior Night        
34 09/06/2024 Home    L      75.58  24  38   4A  5 (41-14- 0) Eldridge North Scott  -11.19     -2.81                      
35 09/13/2024 Away    W     101.16  20   6   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       14.40     -0.40                      
36 09/20/2024 Home    W      87.16  31  30   3A  8 (35-16- 0) Clear Lake              0.40      0.60  Band Night and Dance Team 1/2 time
37 09/27/2024 Home    W     104.95  25   6   4A  7 (34-18- 0) Western Dubuque        18.19      0.81  Flag YSF and Middle School FB and Dance Team Pregame
38 10/04/2024 Away    L * *  64.93   7  28   4A 12 (34-18- 0) Decorah               -21.83      0.83                      
39 10/11/2024 Home    W   *  84.87  40  15   4A 23 (17-28- 0) Mason City             -1.90     26.90  Homecoming and Dance Team at halftime
40 10/18/2024 Home    W   *  63.61  42  18   4A 34 ( 6-39- 0) Waterloo East         -23.16     47.16  Parents Night and Pink Out and Dance Team Pregame and Band Senior Night
41 10/25/2024 Away    W      85.20  28   6   4A 24 (16-29- 0) Marion                 -1.56     23.56  Senior Night        
42 11/01/2024 Away    L      71.81  14  21   4A 17 (26-23- 0) Gilbert               -14.96      7.96                      
43 08/29/2025 Home    W     127.36  45   0   4A 10 (29-22- 0) Bondurant-Farrar       40.59      4.41                      
44 09/05/2025 Home    L      76.45   3  10   4A  9 (35-19- 0) Pella                 -10.32      3.32  Dance Team Performance Pregame
45 09/12/2025 Away    L      77.76   7  20   4A  7 (34-18- 0) Western Dubuque        -9.01     -3.99  WD Youth Football Recognition Night
46 09/19/2025 Away    L      66.31   7  28   3A 10 (28-21- 0) Algona                -20.45     -0.55  Homecoming          
47 09/26/2025 Home    W   *  62.87  31  28   4A 23 (17-28- 0) Mason City            -23.90     26.90  Band Night          
48 10/03/2025 Away    L   *  82.23  21  42   4A  1 (52- 9- 0) CR Xavier              -4.53    -16.47  Future Saints Night 
49 10/10/2025 Home    W   *  93.42  45  14   4A 22 (17-30- 0) CR Washington           6.66     24.34  Homecoming          
50 10/17/2025 Home    W   *  88.61  56   7   4A 34 ( 6-39- 0) Waterloo East           1.84     47.16  Senior Night and Pink Out
51 10/24/2025 Away    L * *  48.93   0  37   4A 12 (34-18- 0) Decorah               -37.83      0.83                      
52 10/31/2025 Away    L   *  56.23   0  47   4A  1 (52- 9- 0) CR Xavier             -30.53    -16.47                      
      Averages              87.21  30.1 19.2

Best game:  127.36 = 45 point win over Bondurant-Farrar
Worst game:  34.36 = 48 point loss to Bondurant-Farrar
Team stdev:  19.34